Edinburgh office market ‘appears unaffected by Brexit’
Edinburgh’s commercial property market saw a positive second quarter in 2016 despite the ‘tailwinds’ brought on by United Kingdom voting to leave the European Union, according to analysis by Knight Frank.
The residential and commercial property consultancy said there was a robust take-up of deals in the capital despite subdued market sentiment.
Professional services and technology, media and telecomms (TMT) companies continued to dominate the market, accounting for about a third of take-up in the three months, April – June 2016. In total, 180,000 sq. ft. of space was let in the city centre, following a high number of lease renewals. This was largely in line with 2015’s performance, which turned out to be a record year.
The strong take-up figure for the quarter puts further pressure on the availability of Grade A stock, with rents pushing higher and incentives diminishing on good quality offices in the core of Edinburgh city centre.
The Commercial Property Market Survey carried out by the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) yesterday found that the Scottish commercial property market has seen a significant drop in confidence and investor demand following the Brexit outcome.
With few new schemes coming onto the market, Knight Frank said there were also a number of transactions for large offices in the capital, which will be refurbished to Grade A standards. Among these deals was Chris Stewart Group’s purchase of Blenheim House, which is expected to bring around 34,000 sq. ft. of new Grade A space to Edinburgh city centre by late 2017 or early 2018.
Toby Withall, office agency partner at Knight Frank in Edinburgh, said that deals continued to brew in the capital, which appear to be unaffected by Brexit.
He added: “The outlook for Edinburgh remains positive, despite the uncertainty hanging over the market following the EU referendum – several significant deals look likely to go ahead, which can only be a vote of confidence in the city. However, it’s still too early to say what Brexit’s full impact is likely to be.
“The fundamentals of the market remain strong and the lack of Grade A office space in Edinburgh city centre is pushing up rents – £33 per sq. ft., previously considered ‘super-prime’, was achieved in the city during Q2. As Grade A space continues to be squeezed, this is only likely to continue.
“There is little coming through on the supply side and demand remains steady – particularly from the burgeoning TMT sector. There are a healthy number of requirements being circulated, although this should be treated with a note of caution – a decent proportion of these are potential renewals for Q1 and Q2 2017.”
Meanwhile, across the M8, Glasgow saw its best second quarter of office space take-up for almost a decade in 2016. Knight Frank’s figures showed that 149,527 sq. ft. of office stock was let in Glasgow during the period April – June 2016 – the highest since 2007. This also compared with 97,000 sq. ft. in the same three months last year (up 54 per cent) and is marginally higher than the 147,000 sq. ft. let during Q2 2010.
This quarter’s activity was mainly driven by two large occupancy deals in the city, involving AXA Insurance at Glasgow’s Cuprum building and Regus at Tay House.