RICS: Scottish housing market heats up as buyer and seller activity picks up
The Scottish housing market has shown a strong increase in activity from both homebuyers and sellers for the second consecutive month in February, according to the latest Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) Residential Market Survey.
New buyer enquiries and instructions to sell properties rose firmly again, following on from a strong first month of the year.
A net balance of 22% of respondents reported higher buyer enquiries in February compared to January, while a net balance of 25% noted an increase in instructions from vendors to sell their properties – the highest since July 2021.
As a result, surveyors expect house sales to pick up over the next three months, though only marginally so, and over the next 12 months. A net balance of 24% of respondents said that they expect sales volumes to be higher in a year.
Regarding pricing, a net balance of 10% of surveyors reported rising house prices in February, a trend expected to continue. A net balance of 18% of Scottish respondents anticipates a rise in residential house prices in the three months ahead, while a net balance of 48% expects higher prices in a year.
In the lettings market, demand for rental property in Scotland remained flat in February. Landlord instructions fell, with a net balance of -57% of surveyors noting decreased supply. With tbis, rental price expectations have eased marginally, as a net balance of 43% of Scottish respondents anticipating a rise in rental prices, down from 50% the previous month.
Craig Henderson, MRICS, Graham & Sibbald LLP, in Ayrshire, commented: “There are clear signs as we move into March that we are seeing more sellers coming to the market, with activity levels improving through the month of February.
“I expect the market to continue much as it has in the last 12 months. Prices at or around home report are likely to continue in most cases.”
Regarding the lettings market, Ian Morton, MRICS, Bradburne & Co in St Andrews, added: “Landlords are hoping for more freedom to adjust rents from next month when the new government policy is implemented. Landlords of holiday lets are negative regarding the additional costs in complying with legislation.”
Commenting on the UK picture, Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist, said: “The February RICS survey provides some grounds for encouragement around the sales market with not just buyer interest staying positive for the second successive month but also the uplift in new instructions to agents.
“Whether the increase in stock coming back to the market will be sustained is likely to be a critical factor in explaining how things play out over the balance of the year especially with new build likely to remain constrained.
“Significantly, the rise in the number of appraisals taking place points in the right direction. And the government will be hoping that this trend is given a boost by the change to CGT announced in the Budget.
“Meanwhile, there are signs that the relentless upward trend in private rents is losing momentum, but fresh demand is still comfortably outstripping supply in this area which suggests there is unlikely to any significant relief for tenants.
“Indeed, feedback from respondents to the survey continue to highlight the challenges in the sector resulting from a whole host of measures introduced in recent years.”